I'm amused by the fact that folks think things will be wildly different next year.
Short of a vaccine and assuming this doesn't mutate like flu this is the new normal. With the right precautions this could work and we would learn alot from this first show.
You going to hide in your houses for another year?
Because there is little evidence to say that a vaccine is imminent let alone actually deliverable.
Unless there is an incredible amount of luck and the everything went right there _might_ be a vaccine but I can’t imagine that will be the case. Look at testing - the failure rate just to test for this virus is ridiculously high.
I’m hopefully the old normal will be back but I’m less convinced it will be soon so I’m done with staying at home locked in when with measure things can be done to lower the risk so some sort of normality returns.
Cheers,
Neil.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro
I'm glad you're amused, but I don't think anyone has suggested that things are going to be wildly different next year, just that people will have had more time to form an evidence-based opinion on what is happening. With the show only 8 weeks after the latest set of lifting restrictions come in to force - it will likely be too soon to make a judgement and then put everything in to making a major show work.
So far there has been no evidence that the virus is mutating anything like the flu. As the vaccines are focusing on the core proteins (which haven't changed since day 1), add to that the sheer effort that is being put in to finding a vaccine and I would say that there is a greater probability of finding a vaccine than not.
The testing of what? For having Covid, or the anti body test?
Tests on if you actually have Covid at the time of testing are also improving, especially those performed on hospital patients and workers - but more still needs to be learned. This will certainly improve over the coming months.
There are numerous antibody tests which have come on to the market - with varying efficacy. Some as low as 80% accurate, many with 99-100% accuracy. The poorer ones will be discarded and the more accurate ones will take over. Again this will happen over the coming months.
If you have the antibody current advice is that it MIGHT NOT offer any protection and to continue with social distancing and hygiene measures. That is because, with it being a new virus, nobody knows if you are immune after having it once. So advice given is that it doesn't. Can you imagine the $hit$torm that in the unlikely event you can catch it twice and people become ill or die after catching it again if the advice given had been you're safe?
Again more will be known in the coming months.
People aren't staying locked in, they are GRADUALLY moving about - jumping to a show with 300+ people crammed into a room playing pinball is hardly taking things slow.
It is your choice if you are done with staying at home, but as you quite rightly say things can be done to LOWER the risk - not eliminate it, people are making the decision based on their own evaluations of the risk and concerns that they are not going to attend a show. You would be classed as of higher risk (using the same criteria we are using in the NHS), based purely on being male and over 50. That is before any other factors are taken into account such as BMI, diabetes, ethnicity, kidney disease, liver disease, weakened immune system, lung condition. I would guess that a significant proportion of those who normally attend events will fall in to that category.
Not only is it each individuals choice to attend or not, it also indicates that enough people will not be attending the show therefore making it not financially viable. (Which was the whole point of this thread).
We will undoubtedly learn a lot from the first show - why not be that person to hold a major show? Run it at Flipout and all of the other people keen to run shows and comps can learn from it.
Would you be happy with 50+ people turning up to your house for a pinball comp?
All of the comments I have read have suggested postponing rather than cancelling altogether and they will never attend another show and stay locked at home.
Things are unlikely to go back to exactly how they were 6 months ago - many of these things for the good, such as:
increased EFFECTIVE hand washing, social distancing, isolating if you're ill, working from home for some.
But it will take time for many of these things to become the 'new norm'.
Pinfest this year has just come too soon to be viable.