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Underpricing pins is harming the hobby

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VeeMonroe

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I'd prefer no one got banned over this, including me - so let's keep any discussion polite and respectful.

I've secured a fourth pin after looking for 2+ months. There is a shortage of pins for sale at the moment, especially on this forum.

I think one problem is pricing in the UK pinball community. Pinflation has gone mad and many people haven't adjusted. Stern are charging ~£7.5k for a new Pro (and there’s still a waiting list) and that's driving up the cost of second-hand pins.

I was told that a late 70s/80s pin should be worth £1-2k. This turned out to be unrealistic in practice. I was offered three pins in two months - one by someone I'd met in person and the other two weren't on my (very long) want list. The 'real' price for a newbie with no social connections to other collectors is closer to £2-3.5k for an average-quality 70s/80s pin. Needless to say, once I offered this price, a pin materialised within days.

Likewise, I recently noticed a Shadow being valued at £3k on the 'How Much is this Worth' thread. I'd value a Shadow in mediocre condition at closer to a White Water, and about £4-5k. A mint one would be £5-7k, which is what you'd expect for something slightly less valuable than a new Stern. If you imagine what you get for £7.5k from a new Stern Pro compared to a restored Shadow, many people - especially those of us into older machines - would think you're getting more from the Shadow (IMO) and a mediocre Shadow is not £4.5k less than a really nice one.

The consequences of underpricing pins I've noticed, include:
  • Newbies being unable to secure a pin in the UK, and being told to check Pinball Owners (mostly overseas pins, which is less practical than it was pre-Brexit), eBay (mainly deludedly overpriced, junk and scams), and retailers - even people looking for popular/common pins like Addams Family;
  • People who price realistically being hounded off the forums (e.g. skill posts!);
  • Pins priced at the 'community-acceptable' price disappear off this forum within a couple of hours. Viewing a pin requires you to drop everything and take a cross-country trip before it disappears (happened to me), or you're expected to buy blind (a perfect environment for scamming);
  • Newbies get frustrated and upset because nothing is for sale (e.g. dude who 'flipped the table' and got banned recently);
  • Pins get exported as they're worth more overseas;
  • Importing pins seems more expensive/risky than it should because the 'free market' price and the 'community-accepted' price are so different;
  • Buying a pin at the 'acceptable' (i.e. below market) price becomes a privilege from being an experienced collector with the right contacts because below-market-price sales happen before a stranger can buy (I'm suspecting this is happening);
  • Non-selling sellers faff around not selling, or pull out of sales, because the 'acceptable' price isn't attractive enough for them to close the deal (happened to me twice. Also, to at least one other person);
  • The shortage of pins for sale on the open market means people don't want to sell an existing pin incase they can't source a replacement.
I'm not happy about the current prices of pinball machines either. However, being unrealistic about this is just hurting people, especially newbies to the hobby.

Given the pricing norm, most pins that come up on the collector market are being sold to an existing collector for whom it’s their ‘nth’ machine. Unless collectors lend their pins to a community arcade like Pinball Republic, this means we’re going to see the same number of pins in fewer homes, which will lead to fewer pins being played :(
 
It's hard to feel too much sympathy for someone struggling to source their 4th Pin. The market is the market, you either pay or you don't. I've chosen not to pay.

Despite what many on here think, Pinball machines are not essential items 😉.

I don't see how asking more for a Pin helps newbies secure one.

If you want to pay £4-5k for a mediocre Shadow that's up to you, I'm sure there would be many willing sellers.
 
I don't see how asking more for a Pin helps newbies secure one.
Asking more for a pin would help a newbie because it wouldn’t sell in hours…

If you imagine someone looking for their first pin, who doesn’t know very much, they’re going to end up missing stuff that sells straight away, and then being funnelled to places like Games Room Company :(

And this isn’t a ‘woe is me’ post. I have a pin now. I’m happy…

If you want to pay £4-5k for a mediocre Shadow that's up to you, I'm sure there would be many willing sellers.

The point isn’t that I wouldn’t get sold a Shadow if I offered £5k. I genuinely don’t know if I’d be offered one (before anyone has any ideas, I have no space for pins!)

The issue is that a Shadow owner has recently been told it’s worth £3k, but I’m pretty sure that if I posted wanting a Shadow with a budget of £3k, I’d get a thread full of ‘Great pin! But mine isn’t for sale!’
 
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Economics, supply and demand. Pinball prices may go up as well as down. Your pin is at risk if you do not keep up ......

If more owners take the opportunity to sell to noobies at a hiked price, you are right, it's a mutually beneficial arrangement, but there is always a risk the bubble will burst....

You pays your money and takes your chance.
 
Economics, supply and demand. Pinball prices may go up as well as down. Your pin is at risk if you do not keep up ......

If more owners take the opportunity to sell to noobies at a hiked price, you are right, it's a mutually beneficial arrangement, but there is always a risk the bubble will burst....

You pays your money and takes your chance.
did you edit that, I swear it didnt say noobies!
 
Well maybe. Has that £10k Addams sold yet? Newbs can have first dibs on it as most other people think it is over priced 😄.
There’s no pictures! I mean, genuinely, they could be selling a cardboard pizza box with ‘Addams Family’ written on it.

I’m confident that a super-mint Addams Family would sell for £10k (and I say this as someone who thinks it’s seriously overrated 😈).
 
God forbid let's hope it's not the case, but a recession, job instability, global unrest.....
There’s just been a global pandemic and it’s seen the price of pinball machines go through the roof.

Global unrest had proven to just increase prices haha
 
It sounds like you think someone new to the hobby should have first dibs or a better chance of getting a pin that comes up for sale than someone that has 20+ machines. Personally I don’t see why that should be the case and I say that as a newbie.
 
This site has evolved quite quickly over the past year or two. It used to be a place where the experienced members tried to keep prices reasonable and make sure newbies didn't overpay (for which I was very grateful). It now seems dominated by newer members talking/driving up the price of pins, and I can understand why some people might prefer to trade between themselves at prices they are comfortable with.

As for Shadow vs Whitewater, I would happily pay £1,500 extra for the Whitewater, but I suppose it's personal taste.
 
Likewise, I recently noticed a Shadow being valued at £3k on the 'How Much is this Worth' thread. I'd value a Shadow in mediocre condition at closer to a White Water, and about £4-5k. A mint one would be £5-7k, which is what you'd expect for something slightly less valuable than a new Stern.

The Shadow has never been in a similar price range to White Water. I picked one up for approx £1.5k a few years after selling a similar condition White Water for at least £1k more. At the time I would have expected to pay £3k+ for a similar condition White Water.

It’s a great game but a pretty poor IP. White Water benefits from an unlicensed and charming theme that is timeless. I don’t think a mediocre condition Shadow would sell for £4-5k on here.

Asking more for a pin would help a newbie because it wouldn’t sell in hours…

Well sure - but I’d suggest that asking more than market value for a pin in the hope that a ’newbie’ buys it is borderline predatory behaviour. You’d sell it to them knowing they’d lose money unless they find another newbie to sell it to. I don’t see how trying to rip off the inexperienced helps anyone other than the seller.
 
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Best philosophy these days is that most pins have some sort of hook to them. Buy what you can and refine your collection over time and try not to get hung up on any particular pin..
 
I used to be quite inclined to swap games in and out multiple times a year.

Now due to prices I don't simply because I know I might not find another example of that game at a price I am willing to pay/can afford. Whereas before I'd hold onto a game for 3-5 months then get something new, now I hold onto games for multiple years before I am willing to change.

If I was a newbie trying to get my foot in the door now I am far worse off than I was 10 years ago when I began where my first DMD game cost £950 and was, in essence, much newer back then. I am now looking at paying £3000-4000 for that same game these days.

As everyone else says, supply and demand, far more people in the hobby etc etc. Might not like it but it's the way things are and we've just got to deal with it. I won't be going back to frequently changing out games like I used to though which I think is what a lot of other people have done who are like me and know they can't just pick up something else easily. This is likely one of the big reasons for far less games on the market.
 
I used to be quite inclined to swap games in and out multiple times a year.

Now due to prices I don't simply because I know I might not find another example of that game at a price I am willing to pay/can afford. Whereas before I'd hold onto a game for 3-5 months then get something new, now I hold onto games for multiple years before I am willing to change.

If I was a newbie trying to get my foot in the door now I am far worse off than I was 10 years ago when I began where my first DMD game cost £950 and was, in essence, much newer back then. I am now looking at paying £3000-4000 for that same game these days.

As everyone else says, supply and demand, far more people in the hobby etc etc. Might not like it but it's the way things are and we've just got to deal with it. I won't be going back to frequently changing out games like I used to though which I think is what a lot of other people have done who are like me and know they can't just pick up something else easily. This is likely one of the big reasons for far less games on the market.
I kind of get that logic but aren't you then keeping a game that maybe you've lost interest in and no longer play as much?
 
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